LTTE and MR

Some thoughts on the alleged bribe MR offered the LTTE to get them to force the Tamil population under their control in the North and East to boycott the 2005 Presidential Election to improve the chances of an MR victory…

Let’s take the previous episode that bears more than a slight resemblance to this whole 2005 allegation of bribing the LTTE for example, an allegation that is more or less proven to be true now, unlike the allegation against MR which still remains just that – an allegation; that is of President Premadasa, in mid 1989, in his first year as President, furnishing the LTTE with plentiful supplies of cash, arms and ammunition against the good advice of the military, to get them to fight the IPKF (which Premadasa genuinely hated, along with most things Indian, to his own detriment) and force them to leave Sri Lanka like the US was forced to leave Vietnam in shame. Then the LTTE was seen by President Premadasa as an entity that could be negotiated with and brought to the democratic process; not even a lesser evil. The only evil as far as Premadasa was concerned at that juncture, was the IPKF. That was naivety and ignorance at work exploited by advice that was misinformed at best (or like I believe) devious at worst.

But in 2005, there was no such enemy as the IPKF to give the LTTE cash to do the only thing that they could be expected to do with it: to furnish themselves with better military gear and training to target the military. The only benefit for MR was an opportunity to become President.

If MR campaigned to carry forward the peace process as all incoming presidential candidates before him too, had campaigned (which he certainly did with incredible wisdom and patience in spite of repeated provocations on the part of the LTTE, almost from day 1 of his presidency), it would have been an extremely poorly thought out, high risk bargain for him to offer cash to the LTTE. Then MR was offering the LTTE cash in return for allowing him, instead of Ranil, to carry forward the peace process, but taking, in full awareness of both the political and military implications of such a deal, the same risk that Premadasa in his complete naivety and ignorance of the true motives of the LTTE took in 1989. Either way, with Ranil or MR, the LTTE were going to get peace, so it makes sense for them to go for peace with a cash bonus. This is a possible scenario, though given what we know of MR, an extremely unlikely one.

In any case, whatever conditions the LTTE would have agreed to in this alleged deal may be, in reality the LTTE did not show any signs of wanting peace, because they were provoking the MR administration to war from day 1. So, from the LTTE’s end, it is clear they wanted more than just cash; they wanted the war restarted, and for whatever reason, not with Ranil; at best they hoodwinked MR to get him in to power to fight the war and understandably, spared Ranil who had helped them so much during the CFA. Why would the LTTE do that is up for grabs, but my take is that the imperial masters of the west which were guiding the LTTE from the beginning, had instructed them to spare their local agent in chief, Ranil, the embarrassment of conceding elam to the LTTE in a military battle under his watch.

So even if this deal did take place, all I can say is that the LTTE and its masters in the west, miscalculated terribly by underestimating the nemesis of their choice – and emphasize NEMESIS OF THEIR CHOICE – and paid for it with the complete opposite of their intended reward of elam: They lost the military battle. The point that it want to make with this hypothesis is that at worst, in the final analysis, ultimately it is MR that appears to have hoodwinked the LTTE, with or (like I would tend to believe, if the deal really too place) without his conscious awareness, and not vice versa.

So why are we still targeting MR with this allegation even if it has some truth to it, that it really cannot understand for the life of it. It is sheer lunacy borne out of desperation.

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